Data is the bottleneck, and it is expensive
Robot data isn't generated by accident; every hour is paid for. She maps teleop, egocentric video, UMI and simulation on fidelity, diversity and scale, and asks whether a "Scale AI of robotics" can make margins.
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World models vs VLAs
From Jim Fan's "RIP VLAs" to 1X predicting world models win by 2027, Dyna-2, Odyssey-3 and Gemini Real2Sim. She also flags the counterpoint paper that both miss the grounding problem.
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Hands, touch and dexterity are the frontier
Hands unlock economic value, legs get attention. Hand architectures, tactile sensing, price spread from $104 to $100k, and IROS converging on contact-rich manipulation.
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Actuators and the supply chain
Her most-liked threads: actuator bills of materials, supplier maps from mine to joint, China's supply base, rare-earth magnets, and the EV/robot supply overlap.
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China ships, US raises
Unitree and AGIBOT shipped ~5,000 humanoids each in 2025 vs ~150 for Figure and Agility; a wave of Chinese IPOs; FCC Covered List and tariffs on the US side.
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Deployment, not demos
"The demo is 1% of the business." Fixed scenes, single tasks, environment failures, and a growing market for installing and running robots.
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Safety and certification
NVIDIA Halos, Safeworld, Agility's functional safety, and the open question of who builds the attestation layer.
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